Elections 2018

Health insurance rip off lying FDA big bankers buying
Fake computer crashes dining
Cloning while they're multiplying
Fashion shoots with Beck and Hanson
Courtney Love, and Marilyn Manson
You're all fakes
Run to your mansions
Come around
We'll kick your ass in

Postby hyperbole man » Tue Dec 12, 2017 9:50 pm

not loving the needle right now
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Postby WAC » Tue Dec 12, 2017 9:50 pm

I need some good news
He said ALOT of shit last night. And most of it WASN'T how he supported a fascist.
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Postby grammatron » Tue Dec 12, 2017 9:52 pm

I am not calm tbh.
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Postby Buzz Fledderjohn » Tue Dec 12, 2017 9:52 pm

i'm trying to keep perspective on this race and think about where our minds were at on an AL senate race a few months ago before this particular microdrama

serenity now
the beginning of the beginning of the end of the beginning
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Postby Geoff » Tue Dec 12, 2017 9:53 pm

sorry wac, you won't find it tonight
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Postby Warranty » Tue Dec 12, 2017 9:53 pm

That guy's a Republican staffer and Geoff is trolling. Way too early to know. Need to know what turnout and margins are like for Jones in his best counties. Moore a slight favorite, but too early to make any honest prediction
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Postby brent » Tue Dec 12, 2017 9:53 pm

WAC wrote:I need some good news


i mean if he wins, the senate will surely expel him at least








:lol:








:cry:
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Postby wolfie » Tue Dec 12, 2017 9:53 pm

You guys really took the bait, huh?

365 days of hell and you thought it was time for a break?

You ain’t never comin back
אחד

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Postby Feech La Manna » Tue Dec 12, 2017 9:54 pm

oh shit the needle says good news for Dougie just came in
badhat wrote:bike solve all problems
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Postby Feech La Manna » Tue Dec 12, 2017 9:54 pm

guys this is far from over
badhat wrote:bike solve all problems
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Postby viachicago » Tue Dec 12, 2017 9:54 pm

Everything is awful and always will be be
Last edited by viachicago on Tue Dec 12, 2017 9:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Postby Buzz Fledderjohn » Tue Dec 12, 2017 9:54 pm

wolfie wrote:You guys really took the bait, huh?

365 days of hell and you thought it was time for a break?

You ain’t never comin back


Image
Last edited by Buzz Fledderjohn on Tue Dec 12, 2017 9:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Postby WAC » Tue Dec 12, 2017 9:54 pm

Warranty wrote:That guy's a Republican staffer and Geoff is trolling. Way too early to know. Need to know what turnout and margins are like for Jones in his best counties. Moore a slight favorite, but too early to make any honest prediction


He works for Decision Desk HQ, who are generally good/straightforward on election stuff.
He said ALOT of shit last night. And most of it WASN'T how he supported a fascist.
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Postby palmer eldritch » Tue Dec 12, 2017 9:54 pm

palmer eldritch wrote:limestone looks really good for Moore but turnout there might run a bit below 2014, so you just have to hope the cities do better


nope it's beating 2014. alabama has some big precincts.
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Postby WAC » Tue Dec 12, 2017 9:55 pm

He said ALOT of shit last night. And most of it WASN'T how he supported a fascist.
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Postby Geoff » Tue Dec 12, 2017 9:55 pm

sorry :( i'm not trolling. Please forgive me WAC
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Postby WAC » Tue Dec 12, 2017 9:55 pm

NATE SILVER 9:04 PM
Since we’re obsessively tracking Limestone County, it’s now back to showing “only” a 19-point lead for Moore with 96 percent of the vote counted, which is ever so slightly less than he might be hoping for. The conventional wisdom about where the race stands is probably swinging more than it should based on very incomplete snippets of data.
He said ALOT of shit last night. And most of it WASN'T how he supported a fascist.
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Postby husbands » Tue Dec 12, 2017 9:57 pm

c'mon dougie
ROLL COAL
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Postby Geoff » Tue Dec 12, 2017 9:57 pm

just a little pessimistic, apologies i won't be pessimistic any further tonight
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Postby Buzz Fledderjohn » Tue Dec 12, 2017 9:57 pm

the beginning of the beginning of the end of the beginning
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Postby hyperbole man » Tue Dec 12, 2017 9:58 pm

HARRY ENTEN 9:02 PM
If you want a good result for Jones, Russell County has 13 of 18 precincts in and Jones is up 35 points. His benchmark is something closer to 25 points.
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Postby VHGisdead » Tue Dec 12, 2017 9:59 pm

less probability dial, more margin confidence interval
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Postby Warranty » Tue Dec 12, 2017 9:59 pm

WAC wrote:
Warranty wrote:That guy's a Republican staffer and Geoff is trolling. Way too early to know. Need to know what turnout and margins are like for Jones in his best counties. Moore a slight favorite, but too early to make any honest prediction


He works for Decision Desk HQ, who are generally good/straightforward on election stuff.


Ah, I just saw that he worked for National Review in his bio. Don't know how anyone could look at the existing data and say a large Moore victory is very likely, but I could definitely be missing something.

It's early! This is gonna be stressful and not worth watching closely as results come in! I'll do it anyway!
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Postby Buddy Glass » Tue Dec 12, 2017 10:01 pm

There's something deeply masochistic that I keep monitoring this thing even though my phone is gonna vibrate and let me know seconds after the results are known anyway
What became of her? She lived, as she liked to say, off the kindness of gentlemen. I assume she’s dead.
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Postby This Guy » Tue Dec 12, 2017 10:01 pm

not feeling good right now, Bama going to Bama
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Postby palmer eldritch » Tue Dec 12, 2017 10:01 pm

randolph county finished, it's a big Moore county and he won it by a little bit more than '12
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Postby Buzz Fledderjohn » Tue Dec 12, 2017 10:02 pm

NYT meter just went blue
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Postby Feech La Manna » Tue Dec 12, 2017 10:03 pm

we got a hot one fellas
badhat wrote:bike solve all problems
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Postby Durham » Tue Dec 12, 2017 10:03 pm

Image
You check your phone one more time, if you do good. You will check your phone two more times, if you do bad.
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Postby deebster » Tue Dec 12, 2017 10:03 pm

more good needle movement
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