Elections 2018.

Health insurance rip off lying FDA big bankers buying
Fake computer crashes dining
Cloning while they're multiplying
Fashion shoots with Beck and Hanson
Courtney Love, and Marilyn Manson
You're all fakes
Run to your mansions
Come around
We'll kick your ass in

Postby yungboi » Thu Aug 09, 2018 2:06 pm

palmer eldritch wrote:Stewart losing by 20 points would be nice because you might beat Brat and maybe Taylor and/or bigfoot porn guy with that matlrgin


i have absolutely no data to back this up but i could see Brat losing VA-07 even if Stewart loses by less than 20 points. i've been seeing Spanberger bumper stickers/ads everywhere and haven't seen anything for Brat - feels like there's not any energy behind Brat here
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Postby palmer eldritch » Thu Aug 09, 2018 2:19 pm

I think the line for winning there is probably around Kaine +14 or so yeah
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Postby palmer eldritch » Thu Aug 09, 2018 2:30 pm

in '12, Kaine, Brown, and Baldwin all won by about 6 points, and Casey won by about 9.

polling averages right now are Baldwin +12, Brown +14, Casey +16, Kaine +17

I think there will be some reversion to the mean there
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Postby palmer eldritch » Thu Aug 09, 2018 2:34 pm

large leads like that can be hard to maintain as people tune into the race, but OTOH, Northam ended up doing better than he ever polled (on average) in the end
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Postby Buzz Fledderjohn » Thu Aug 09, 2018 2:44 pm

the beginning of the beginning of the end of the beginning
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Postby spix et chicho » Thu Aug 09, 2018 2:44 pm

The ironing is delicious
CIARA IS DEFIANTLY A MAN AND ITS DISGUSTING MY CUZIN WAS THROWING UP FOR 2 WEEKSM YUUUUUUUUCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCKKKKKKKKKKK PLEASE SIGN THIS B/C THATS JSUT HERENDOUZ
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Postby Buzz Fledderjohn » Thu Aug 09, 2018 2:46 pm

although i got overly excited at first thinking he was no longer in the lead
the beginning of the beginning of the end of the beginning
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Postby tgk » Thu Aug 09, 2018 3:02 pm

That AP tweet is funny because you're like "wow, what a massive error" and then you're like

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Postby important dentist » Thu Aug 09, 2018 3:04 pm

Buzz Fledderjohn wrote:although i got overly excited at first thinking he was no longer in the lead

i got excited at first because i thought it said "Kansas Secretary of State Kris Kobach cut in half"
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Postby Buzz Fledderjohn » Thu Aug 09, 2018 3:07 pm

lmao @ VA GOP still running on MS-13

the beginning of the beginning of the end of the beginning
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Postby loaf angel » Thu Aug 09, 2018 9:55 pm



:D
goldsoundz wrote:i'd bang that moron
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Postby ahungbunny » Thu Aug 09, 2018 9:58 pm

holy shit that's the perfect response
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Postby Ankh » Thu Aug 09, 2018 10:00 pm

yeah, incredible
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Postby brent » Thu Aug 09, 2018 10:02 pm

hell yeah

hell yeah
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Postby -1 baby... :( » Thu Aug 09, 2018 10:04 pm

Benny has already weeted/retweeted like 10 times in response. Typical response for someone not owned.
Check please!!
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Postby important dentist » Thu Aug 09, 2018 10:07 pm

that's outstanding
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Postby Mr Spaceship » Thu Aug 09, 2018 10:08 pm

wow
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Postby important dentist » Thu Aug 09, 2018 10:11 pm

i think what we're seeing here is a candidate who is young enough that she actually knows how to be online (as opposed to Extremely Online) and it is really helpful
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Postby important dentist » Thu Aug 09, 2018 10:12 pm

remember when ted cruz got owned about not having a response to some question regarding impeachment and he responded with like a 20-tweet thread

you'll never catch aoc doing that
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Postby Feech La Manna » Thu Aug 09, 2018 10:17 pm

So my man Kobach actually committed voter fraud so he could keep promoting fake voter fraud

That’s some galaxy brain shit
badhat wrote:bike solve all problems
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Postby Feech La Manna » Thu Aug 09, 2018 10:35 pm

lol

badhat wrote:bike solve all problems
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Postby laserblast » Thu Aug 09, 2018 11:02 pm

if politico is going to write 'morrisey can totally do this' thinkpieces it's time to start writing 'beto can totally do this' thinkpieces because beto is closer than morrisey is

https://www.politico.com/story/2018/08/09/west-virginia-manchin-senate-morrisey-768665
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Postby palmer eldritch » Thu Aug 09, 2018 11:22 pm

how many statewide R's in WV and how many statewide D's in TX
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Postby palmer eldritch » Thu Aug 09, 2018 11:28 pm

you're right tho, the data says Beto has a better chance of winning than (not typing his name from memory)
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Postby Barthes Starr » Fri Aug 10, 2018 8:17 am

wouldn't recommend reading the replies to that AOC tweet, but the degree to which she sends conservatives absolutely reeling is astounding i love it
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Postby Poptone » Fri Aug 10, 2018 8:42 am

loaf angel wrote:

:D



Image
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Postby hyperbole man » Fri Aug 10, 2018 9:29 am

Barthes Starr wrote:wouldn't recommend reading the replies to that AOC tweet, but the degree to which she sends conservatives absolutely reeling is astounding i love it


it is astonishing how inflated a sense of shapiro's importance his fans have
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Postby Hal Jordan » Fri Aug 10, 2018 10:09 am

the comments really reinforce that blue checked conservative twitter can't do anything but argue in bad faith which is why it's dumb to "debate" someone like shapiro (leaving aside that a partisan commentator doesn't "deserve" any right to a publicized debate with a politician, and it's ridiculous to act like she should do it)
well that was intense
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Postby Hugh » Fri Aug 10, 2018 10:25 am

Buzz Fledderjohn wrote:lmao @ VA GOP still running on MS-13



Forget Ed Gillespie's loss, Barbara. He was a bad candidate! The answer is to double down on racist rhetoric and throw in a couple of those classic freeze frames of your opponent that make them look derpy.
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Postby coop » Fri Aug 10, 2018 10:31 am

hmmm
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