The 2020 Primary

Health insurance rip off lying FDA big bankers buying
Fake computer crashes dining
Cloning while they're multiplying
Fashion shoots with Beck and Hanson
Courtney Love, and Marilyn Manson
You're all fakes
Run to your mansions
Come around
We'll kick your ass in

Postby bruceagain » Thu Nov 21, 2019 11:47 am

terminus wrote:
FourLegsGood wrote:Image

Image

lol
that is a deep cut
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Postby palmer eldritch » Thu Nov 21, 2019 11:50 am

Pops Freshenmeyer wrote:mostly last night just has me depressed that the slow death march of biden sleepwalking his way to the nomination is continuing unabated


I'm ready to get into some DELEGATE MATH because I'm a deeply sick individual
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Postby Kiki » Thu Nov 21, 2019 11:57 am

Yeah why the fuck should my tax dollars pay for billionaires kids to go to school! Just like the billionaires shouldn’t be paying for poor peoples healthcare!!!
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Postby palmer eldritch » Thu Nov 21, 2019 12:06 pm

CA has 272 district level delegates plus 144 at large/statewide delegates

so anyone who crosses a 15% threshold in any CD might be able to get a delegate here or there (Yang?) and the distribution of support is pretty important. also anyone that drops out of the race before May 17 will lose their at large delegates
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Postby palmer eldritch » Thu Nov 21, 2019 12:09 pm

TX does their district level delegates by state senate district
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Postby tgk » Thu Nov 21, 2019 12:17 pm

Pops Freshenmeyer wrote:mostly last night just has me depressed that the slow death march of biden sleepwalking his way to the nomination is continuing unabated


honestly at this point, with the people on that debate stage, my nom preferences would be

bernie
liz
cory
kamala
biden
amy
steyer
pete
tulsi
yang

so, could be a lot worse than joe!
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Postby big zorb » Thu Nov 21, 2019 12:21 pm

palmer eldritch wrote:CA has 272 district level delegates plus 144 at large/statewide delegates

so anyone who crosses a 15% threshold in any CD might be able to get a delegate here or there (Yang?) and the distribution of support is pretty important. also anyone that drops out of the race before May 17 will lose their at large delegates


[eyes glazing over] yeah it's interesting to think about...
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Postby palmer eldritch » Thu Nov 21, 2019 12:21 pm

pete vs tulsi now that is the question (that we will never have to answer)
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Postby tgk » Thu Nov 21, 2019 12:23 pm

id have to go pete over tulsi, which is painful to say. as bad as pete is he's never done anything as atrocious as being a proponent of conversion therapy or buddying up to assad (though i'm sure pete thinks kissinger is a great man)
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Postby Pops Freshenmeyer » Thu Nov 21, 2019 12:24 pm

palmer, put on the kornacki pundit hat, which candidate does this 15% district threshold help if at all? maybe warren cause she seems to have a broader appeal across primary demographics? bernie cause his support is so steady and solid? biden cause he'll rack up a bunch of delegates in places where no one else cracks 15%?
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Postby palmer eldritch » Thu Nov 21, 2019 12:33 pm

Pops Freshenmeyer wrote:palmer, put on the kornacki pundit hat, which candidate does this 15% district threshold help if at all? maybe warren cause she seems to have a broader appeal across primary demographics? bernie cause his support is so steady and solid? biden cause he'll rack up a bunch of delegates in places where no one else cracks 15%?


seems like Biden will be able to pull some amount of delegates most places, Bernie has a pretty good level of support with CA latinx voters, warren and pete would probably have fairly focused support in suburbs and the tech areas (if the vote was tomorrow)
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Postby tgk » Thu Nov 21, 2019 12:40 pm

looking at RCP's 2020 primary tracker, liz is now below bernie in polling for the first time in over two months. short lived frontrunner. bernie is also polling higher than he's polled since may
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Postby big zorb » Thu Nov 21, 2019 12:41 pm

liz is over, i'm sorry to say...
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Postby trouble » Thu Nov 21, 2019 12:42 pm

i know this is asked a lot but what were the polls like in the repub race this time in 2015
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Postby tgk » Thu Nov 21, 2019 12:44 pm



One year before Election Day 2016, Dr. Ben Carson is virtually tied with Donald Trump as strong front-runners for the Republican nomination, and Carson tops former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton 50 - 40 percent in the final face-off, according to a Quinnipiac University National poll released today.

Trump gets 24 percent of Republican votes, with Carson at 23 percent, Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida at 14 percent, Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas at 13 percent, and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush at 4 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds. No other candidate tops 3 percent, with 9 percent undecided, and 63 percent who might change their mind.
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Postby palmer eldritch » Thu Nov 21, 2019 12:45 pm

trouble wrote:i know this is asked a lot but what were the polls like in the repub race this time in 2015


not too dissimilar from what you see now if you replaced Trump with Biden
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Postby trouble » Thu Nov 21, 2019 12:45 pm

Carson tops former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton 50 - 40 percent in the final face-off


lol
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Postby tgk » Thu Nov 21, 2019 12:45 pm

I guess take to heart that trump vs biden/bernie/liz matchups dont' show a TEN POINT loss like we saw then
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Postby blurst of times » Thu Nov 21, 2019 12:48 pm

bernie will of won


(yes i know national polls don't really matter and emerson is looked down upon for some reason, but let me have this)
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Postby misadventurous » Thu Nov 21, 2019 12:49 pm

furrowed brow wrote:How much of voter apathy in the US comes down to people being so sick of hearing about this shit for a year and a half straight that come Nov they literally can't even




i think about this video a lot
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Postby palmer eldritch » Thu Nov 21, 2019 12:49 pm

RCP is pretty bad. there's barely been any worthwhile national polling for two weeks.
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Postby palmer eldritch » Thu Nov 21, 2019 12:51 pm

blurst of times wrote:bernie will of won


(yes i know national polls don't really matter and emerson is looked down upon for some reason, but let me have this)


(opens mouth and closes mouth) I'm gonna go make some coffee
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Postby furrowed brow » Thu Nov 21, 2019 12:53 pm

misadventurous wrote:
furrowed brow wrote:How much of voter apathy in the US comes down to people being so sick of hearing about this shit for a year and a half straight that come Nov they literally can't even




i think about this video a lot


Classic
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Postby Shotfrog » Thu Nov 21, 2019 12:53 pm

FourLegsGood wrote:Image

All this needs is like 60 Mountain Dew cans scattered around him and it's a picture of me from high school.
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Postby trouble » Thu Nov 21, 2019 12:54 pm

dr. ben carson was one or two grain pyramid comments away from being president.
Last edited by trouble on Thu Nov 21, 2019 12:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Postby palmer eldritch » Thu Nov 21, 2019 12:54 pm

lol
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Postby Shotfrog » Thu Nov 21, 2019 12:57 pm

Wait I was actually way cooler than him

Image
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Postby palmer eldritch » Thu Nov 21, 2019 1:02 pm

I'm pretty sure pete has the same glasses I had in college. they were not flattering.
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Postby furrowed brow » Thu Nov 21, 2019 1:03 pm

Shotfrog wrote:Wait I was actually way cooler than him

Image


Whoa, girl in the background about to get murked
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Postby palmer eldritch » Thu Nov 21, 2019 1:09 pm

lets check that berniementum in the polls

Image
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