chicago

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Postby Fullscreen » Sat Feb 23, 2019 7:33 pm

nosebleeds wrote:
Fullscreen wrote:y'all voted for some socialist aldermanic candidates where applicable though, yeah?

Rossanna Rodriguez. Does that count?

hell yeah.
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Postby tgk » Mon Feb 25, 2019 10:27 am

very interesting poll here

Chicago’s historic mayoral race remains wide open with Toni Preckwinkle, Bill Daley and Lori Lightfoot tied with 14 percent and Susana Mendoza at 10 percent in an online/English-only poll conducted over the weekend. (Poll memo here.)


The survey shows 4 percent are unsure about how to vote, down from polls a few weeks ago that had undecideds as high as 20 percent.

The poll was commissioned by 270 Strategies, the consulting firm started by Obama 2012 campaigners. The firm’s partner, Hari Sevugan, says it’s not advising any of the 14 mayoral candidates vying for the seat being vacated by Rahm Emanuel. Change Research conducted the survey. Some highlights:

Numbers down the line: Gery Chico (9%), Willie Wilson (9%), Jerry Joyce (8%), Paul Vallas (6%), Garry McCarthy (5%), Amara Enyia (4%), Bob Fioretti (2%), Neal Sales-Griffin (1%), LaShawn Ford (1%) and John Kozlar (0%).

Voter breakdown: African American voters favor Preckwinkle, Lightfoot and Wilson. Hispanic and Latinx voters like Chico and Mendoza. Among female voters, Preckwinkle and Daley lead. And male voters like Lightfoot and Daley.

Hypothetical runoffs: Lightfoot beats Preckwinkle, Daley and Mendoza. Mendoza beats Preckwinkle and Daley. And Daley beats Preckwinkle.
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Postby bicycle made for two » Mon Feb 25, 2019 2:56 pm

my final guess:

Lightfoot: 23%
Preck: 19%
Daley: 18%
Chico: 11%
Mendoza: 10%
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Postby tgk » Mon Feb 25, 2019 3:01 pm

a lightfoot/preckwinkle runoff would be quite the scene
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Postby Kuboaa » Mon Feb 25, 2019 3:46 pm

I'll take that over anybody/Daley
still gonna be a dumpster fire
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Postby tgk » Mon Feb 25, 2019 3:48 pm

daley seems like a shoo-in for the runoff, who else are the rich and racist whites gonna vote for?
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Postby kirito » Mon Feb 25, 2019 5:41 pm

hey guys vote lightfoot over toni ok peace
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Postby tgk » Mon Feb 25, 2019 5:51 pm

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Postby bicycle made for two » Tue Feb 26, 2019 10:33 am

turnout was pretty danged low in my precinct this morning, hope it picks up the rest of the day

also smh at these age breakdowns

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Postby goldsoundz » Tue Feb 26, 2019 11:14 am

i voted a little before 7 at truman college and it was pretty empty. stark contrast to november when i had to wait 20 minutes at the same time

granted the ballot is a lot shorter for this one but yeah. the awful mayoral candidates is probably gonna re-elect a few bad incumbent alderman
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Postby tgk » Tue Feb 26, 2019 11:21 am

I can't even be mad at people for not voting this go around, I've never seen a more dispiriting slate of candidates. Its all triage and damage control to avoid a true disaster like daley getting elected and that's not a very motivating thing for most people.
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Postby wuk » Tue Feb 26, 2019 11:24 am

I last minute switched to Lori over Toni.

Nobody was there. Bare bones ballott, no referendums or anything. Just mayor, clerk, treasurer and alderman.
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Postby darger » Tue Feb 26, 2019 11:27 am

waguespeck was uncontested so i only had three.

i voted lori.
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Postby goldsoundz » Tue Feb 26, 2019 11:30 am

city clerk is essentially uncontested too since valencia's challengers got kicked off the ballot
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Postby Fullscreen » Tue Feb 26, 2019 12:09 pm

tgk wrote:I can't even be mad at people for not voting this go around, I've never seen a more dispiriting slate of candidates. Its all triage and damage control to avoid a true disaster like daley getting elected and that's not a very motivating thing for most people.

I don't buy this, given the number of progressive aldermanic candidates. limited to those wards obviously but its every bit as important to remove rubber stamp capitalist hacks from the city council as electing a better mayor.
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Postby tgk » Tue Feb 26, 2019 12:22 pm

Sure but im curious how many wards are seen as having a good shot to oust their shitty incumbent? Theres a good chance ed burke gets reelected!
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Postby Fullscreen » Tue Feb 26, 2019 12:31 pm

well with that kind of attitude....

no i have no idea what it takes to oust an incumbent alderman but Rossana and her people seem to be putting some serious work into it and sieracki isn't bad either so I hope there's at least a runoff in my own ward!!!
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Postby tgk » Tue Feb 26, 2019 12:48 pm

I have nothing to complain about my corrupt as hell alderman isn't running! Every candidate for his seat is just a kid whos relatively new to Chicago politics. Running against solis had always been seen as a way to boost your profile but you understood you didn't have much of a shot and now everything has been flipped on its head and i have no idea how this is gonna shake out. Nothing more engrossing than Chicago politics i tell ya.
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Postby bicycle made for two » Tue Feb 26, 2019 12:49 pm

citywide turnout numbers are totally fine, I really don't think there's good cause for pessimism.



Early Votes were 40% over Feb 2015, where there were 487K ballots cast in total. We should be somewhere in the vicinity of 600K votes cast this election!
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Postby xxx-xxx-xxxx » Tue Feb 26, 2019 12:50 pm

i was voter # 80 at my bridgeport polling place at 1130
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Postby xxx-xxx-xxxx » Tue Feb 26, 2019 12:52 pm

tgk wrote:Sure but im curious how many wards are seen as having a good shot to oust their shitty incumbent? Theres a good chance ed burke gets reelected!


i grew up in berke's ward and my parents still live there. i'll eat my hat if berke doesn't get reelected from what i've been hearing from their neighbors.
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Postby tgk » Tue Feb 26, 2019 12:57 pm

I saw somewhere that said i think 160,000 people were added to the voter rolls since 2015 (thank you voter reform laws including automatic registration!) so im expecting lots of votes i will be curious to see turnout percentage though, pretty low bar to clear as we saw 34% last time
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Postby bicycle made for two » Tue Feb 26, 2019 2:12 pm

nm I was wrong, looks like turnout is on track to be shit

thread:
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Postby Kuboaa » Tue Feb 26, 2019 2:17 pm

no one votes, but everyone complains
the Chicago way
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Postby galactagogue » Tue Feb 26, 2019 2:40 pm

isn't it pretty early to assume turnout? esp w mail ballots-- which i think are higher than usual at least in circles i'm acquainted with.
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Postby galactagogue » Tue Feb 26, 2019 2:41 pm

i really wouldn't know tho, this is my first time voting in chicago mayoral
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Postby tgk » Tue Feb 26, 2019 5:16 pm

Turnout that's gonna represent like 3% of all chicagoans split across 14 candidates god damn
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Postby bicycle made for two » Tue Feb 26, 2019 5:27 pm

it's clearly not going to be 3%, stop it
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Postby camping » Tue Feb 26, 2019 6:21 pm

may have the-dream +1 for thursday if anyone is interested
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Postby domesticwhite » Tue Feb 26, 2019 6:33 pm

camping wrote:may have the-dream +1 for thursday if anyone is interested


would love to take you up on this but cannot so someone should

i'll be at cold cave / adult. / vowws at metro tomorrow tho
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